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You are here: Home / Archives for Forecast

Silver Price Forecast 2023.

by Fxigor

Table of Contents

  • Silver trading introduction
  • Silver price today – silver chart
  • 2023 Silver Price Forecast
  • Is the Price of Silver Going Up?
  • Silver fundamental analysis – Interest rate and inflation
  • Silver and green initiative
  • Silver long-term technical analysis
  • Wall Street Silver Analysis
  • Silver Market Volatility
  • The drop and hike in silver prices and Covid 19 
  • Silver price research before investing
  • The future predictions of silver prices from reliable online and offline sources 
  • Should You Invest in Silver?

Silver trading introduction

In the ongoing certainties caused due to the pandemic, people have started relying on investments made in gold and silver, which would provide some confidence to their lives. However, silver remains more approachable and a better and convenient option to spend in the two. 

In the past months, the prices of white gold have risen by approximately 18%, while the prices of white meat have risen by around 3%. 

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However, going by the market trend, it is expected that the price of silver will also soar shortly. 

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We can now look at the current price fluctuations of silver, what factors affect it, and those that will affect it directly. According to market experts, the price of silver is expected to rise.

To say that 2020 has been a unique year would be an understatement. We saw the world in upheaval. The medical crisis hit the entire globe and shook the socio-political dynamics of various countries. The US dollar and crude oil value fell exceptionally while commodities like gold and silver enjoyed bullish trends. Gold and silver price rise promoted investors and traders to think beyond the conventional investment options. Many investors looking to diversify their holdings while keeping the risks at the minimum switched to these two assets.

Gold created quite a stir in the investment world last year, but silver also proved to be exceptionally promising. If you plan to invest in silver or wish to know how it performed in 2020, keep reading this article. You will get an idea about how much silver is projected to go up and future silver price predictions. Read along to make informed decisions regarding future investments.

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Silver price today – silver chart

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XAGUSD Chart by TradingView


 

 

2023 Silver Price Forecast

The silver price forecast shows the possibility of going above $30 at the end of 2023. The 10-year silver price forecast offers the chance to go above $290 in the next ten years. Silver price projections are based on interest rate projections, technical analysis, and silver supply and demand projections.

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Is the Price of Silver Going Up?

Yes, the silver price is going up because of the following factors:

  • The recession is coming, and stocks are declining.
  • Inflation is rising
  • Huge silver demand. Silver will be critical to the solar power generation market over the next ten years.
  • Technical analysis shows a bullish pattern on daily, weekly, and monthly charts.

 

Silver fundamental analysis – Interest rate and inflation

While inflation is rising and accurate, exciting rates are falling. Silver is increasing as more investors see precious metals as a better investment opportunity than bonds.

interest rate and inflation chart

An interest rate is a percentage charged on the total amount you borrow or save. Nominal interest rate refers to the interest rate before taking inflation into account. Inflation is the rate at which the value of a currency is falling, and consequently, the general level of prices for goods and services is rising. The real interest rate is calculated as the difference between the nominal and inflation rates.

Silver and green initiative

Silver represents raw material for photovoltaic (PV) cells, solar panels’ building blocks, and leading clean-energy technology. As a result, silver will be critical to the solar power generation market over the next ten years and essential in renewable energy production.

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Silver long-term technical analysis

In the last 50 years, silver has been on a moderate rising trend. Analyzing the previous 50 years’ chart shows the cup and handle pattern that projects a solid bullish trend. After a stable, rising trend during the 2008 crisis, now price is trying to break the historical maximum.

Wall Street Silver Analysis

Let’s find out what Wall Street analysts feel about the future of this commodity.

At the end of October 2020, a report was published by analysts at Metals Focus. According to them, the chances of silver touching $30 per ounce are highly likely. They predicted that silver would see an upward surge after the US presidential election. In addition, they were confident that the economy would receive large-scale stimuli from the government irrespective of the results, and there will be new fiscal policies. These two variants, along with continuous lockdowns, do not look promising for recovering the economies.

The forecast made by Metals Focus shows that silver will remain bullish in the long term. They, however, are still warning the investors about the near-term volatility. According to them, the economic recovery rate will be slow in the future, and unemployment will likely elevate further. These things will weigh on silverware demand and the recovery of industries.

There were several predictions made by other institutions as well. For example, CIBC bank predicts that the prices of silver will reach $32/ounce in 2021, sliding back to $31/ounce in 2022 and $30/ounce in 2023. It is still too early in 2021 to see if these predictions stand the test of time or not.

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According to CIBC analysts, the government debt is still rising, and the interest rates are also on the lower side. These factors, along with geopolitical uncertainty, translate to an appreciation of metal prices.

Citi analysts are also quite optimistic about the future of metal. The bank predicted that the metal would jump to $40/ per ounce within a year. Their predictions are based on the fact that there will be a massive surge in industrial demand, and investors will be more willing to pay.

Citi analysts expect that the investor demand for precious metals will remain on a higher side throughout 2021 and well into 2022. This is because the concerns regarding vaccine efficacy, devaluation of currencies, rising global debt, and uncertainty regarding equity and bond valuation and take-up rates will remain in most cases. Their technical team also believes that the rate of silver can reach as high as $50/ounce or even $100/ounce in 2021.

Goldman Sachs (GS) also believes that 2021 is a good time for commodities. They recommend going long on gold, silver, copper, Brent Crude Oil, and US natural gas.

Capital Economics came up with another prediction related to the prices of silver. Their analysts predict that gains for silver will remain moderate in 2021. According to these analysts, the prices of silver will rise in conjunction with the prices of gold. However, the rise will not be as drastic as others have predicted. They believe that silver prices will reach $25/ounce at the end of 2020 and $27/ounce at 2021. So far, their predictions seem likely.

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JP Morgan has a different opinion than the rest. Their silver prediction is the opposite of what others believe. According to them, it will see a downward trend in 2021.

After considering many forecasts made by different yet reliable online forecasting resources, Wallet Investor stated that the commodity would probably reach as high as $26.5/punce by the end of 2021 and appreciate by October 2025 to sit comfortably at $31.5/ounce.

Silver Market Volatility

In general, ascertaining any asset’s price requires a lot of analysis, and still, the answer is never absolutely accurate. Given the current crises, this has become an even unpredictable task. In addition to the global pandemic, other factors can also influence the price of an asset. For example, the US presidential elections in 2020 made the financial market, especially the value of the USD, highly volatile. Secondly, the COVID-19 cases are not flatlining globally, adding to economic anxiety and making economic recovery seem like a slow and distant dream. Many countries keep enforcing strict lockdowns as well.

These economic and political uncertainties hint that investors will continue to faith in precious metals like gold and silver as they are often seen as global currencies. This means that silver prices will continue to enjoy support from the buyers.

Another aspect that needs to be highlighted is silver as both a precious and industrial metal. The economies have started to open up gradually, and while still slow, industrial activities are gaining momentum. Naturally, this will increase volatility in the silver market. However, this can also mean that while the prices may not see a sudden plunge this year, there can be limited availability of silver for industrial purposes as people are buying it for their haven.

The drop and hike in silver prices and Covid 19 

The price of silver has fluctuated quite a lot across time and space owing to various factors. However, the metal reached its premium stage in April 2011 when it was sold at $49.21 (£39.01, €45.57) per ounce caused by the ongoing eurozone crisis as monetary inflation. 

However, this peak was brought down after a point, and for many months now, the price of silver has been revolving around the value of  $20 per ounce. 

After the peak of 2011, the other peak silver witnessed was in 2019 when the prices soared approximately 15%, and the market experts pretended that the price would continue to fly in the coming future. In September 2019, the value of silver was raised to $19.50 per ounce, and the value at the end of the year was  $18 per ounce. 

The financial markets then underwent a shock caused by US military bases and the Iranian military. This led the financial investors to run after safe-haven assets, which led to the metal hiking past the fixed mark of $18.83 maintained for about four months. However, once the tension between the two nations eased down, the price of silver went down again to its previous low, kept at $17.81.

This was then followed by the low seen due to the global pandemic of Covid-19, which affected all the international markets to hit rock bottom. The price of silver also shed 38% to the point that it was the lowest in 11 years seen in March. The investors became skeptical, and some of them quit their positions to stand in favor of cash. 

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Due to the growing risk aversion and the reduction in industrial production, silver faced increased volatility being an industrial metal. As a result, the spot price of silver went down to $12 per ounce, which was the lowest it reached since the year 2009. However, over the next few weeks, the metal price recovered slightly to get back to the level of $15 per ounce for trading. 

The fluctuations in the price of silver metal surprised many investors. The price ended the month of May at $18.50 per ounce, driven by the forces of high demand for the safe asset and the recovery in industrial consumption. The metal further fluctuated to reach $18.63 per ounce in July. 

With this much fluctuation in the price of silver, it becomes difficult to ascertain the future it would hold as an investment. 

Silver price research before investing

To be an intelligent investor and ascertain your investments’ future, you must look into the factors of the silver prices before investing. 

The massive spread of coronavirus has caused the likelihood of a global recession to occur. However, it is also expected that with the opening of the economies after the Covid-19 lockdown, there would be a spike in demand for the metal. 

It has been predicted by the World Silver Survey conducted by Metals Focus for the Silver Institute that the physical investment in silver in the form of silver bars, as well as bullion coins, could undergo another year of stellar growth. The investment growth has been forecasted to experience gains this year to a rise of 16,% leading to a five-year high as investors look forward to a safer form of investment. 

However, as per the report, another prediction of the metal mine production is going down to 5% at  797 million ounces in 2020. Moreover, the market surplus is expected to increase 53% from 31.3m ounces in 2019 to 14.7m ounces in 2020. This could be one crucial factor in the silver prices in the future and the recovering demand. 

Another critical driver causing a change in the price is the ongoing market policy. It was stated by the US Federal Reserve in June that, according to them, the rates would remain at 0-0.25% until 2022. With a vital weighing on the US dollar, the environment was conducive to supporting the prices of gold and silver. 

Another thing to consider while considering the silver prices is the rollout of the 5G telecom network. If the rollout happens well, the demand for metal would be found in semiconductors for network equipment, consumer electronics, and semiconductors. Therefore, as has been found in the report of Silver Institute on Silver’s Role in a Future 5G Connected World, a whole new range and demand of silver applications will be created. 

The future predictions of silver prices from reliable online and offline sources 

The global pandemic has led many investors to step forward and invest in silver as a reliable asset. But can we be sure of the fruitful results of this investment? 

The pandemic has made it extremely difficult to predict anything at all. It was stated by the founding partner of Metals Focus, Philip Newman, that the predictions being made are significant to run the market; however, these would be the most unpredictable times infused with uncertainty. So they put the figures together to generate a prediction based on necessity, but they realize how unprecedented these statements might turn out to be. 

The silver price projection by Metals Focus has predicted the metal’s price to go over $20 per ounce later in the year, as has been elucidated in the statement that said, once the prices of gold reach a soaring high, the prices of silver would follow an exceptional rise outperforming gold. An analyst of the organization further added that the people would continue to invest in silver, according to the people. The reason that they found underlying this assumption was the minimal opportunity cost that would be incurred on carrying gold and silver. In addition, they assumed that the investments made in silver would continue based on the meager policy rates and unexpected liquidity injections put up by the central banks. As they believe, this would ultimately result in a rotation from stocks and bonds to an investment in silver. 

Another forecasting website, the Economic Forecast Agency, predicted the same bullish outlook, which said that the price of silver would be at $22.30 per ounce by the end of the year 2020. However, their further prediction says that this price would fall below the $20 mark in 2024. 

It was stated by David Smith of the Morgan Report (during the online MoneyShow event that took place in June), who also believes in the concept of falling supply, and rising demand would indicate price growth that the grades have been found following a downward trend in the past ten years. The rates have dropped approximately 50% considering the tons that originate from the ore as against the amount dug out from the ground, which has impacted each silver mine there.

He further added that, according to him, there would be a lot of buying and selling that would take place with these assets. He also predicted that silver will witness a soaring high, which has always been unprecedented and can never be expected, with it reaching a price figure of three digits in the coming few years.  

However, providing us with a different outlook altogether, Wallet Investor, an online forecasting service, believes that the metal price would remain flat by the end of this year at  $18.26 per ounce. They further stated that the price would experience minor fluctuations and stay below the $20 per ounce level until 2025. 

ABN Amro also exhibited certain cautiousness while predicting the silver prices in their statement, which said that they expect the prices of silver to fall massively due to specific weaknesses, which might also reduce the investments being made in silver.

They also stated that the trend between now and three months from now could also vary. One factor that could ruin the silver market could be the rising tension between China and the United States of America. The net result that they anticipate is a fall in the prices of silver caused due to the risky environment as well as the falling demand for the metal. However, it was also made clear that in the long run, they expect the position of the metal to facilitate a possibility of striking gold as well. 

Lastly, the analysts at BMO have reduced silver to have the average rate of $17.60 per ounce this year, continued by the rate of $18.50 in 2021.

Should You Invest in Silver?

Silver represents one of the metals that we bought this year. In 2021. we projected silver gain in the next several months, and we see an attractive investing opportunity. 

However, if there is one thing that you will undoubtedly get in the financial market, it is uncertainty. Investing in silver is no different. No one can give you any guarantees. Most financial analysts’ reading predictions prove that silver will remain bullish this year and for the time being. However, given the current market situation and the global crisis, every financial market is highly volatile right now. This makes predicting more challenging, especially when discussing long-term investment.

Before making any investment, analyze the latest market trends, check the facts, do technical analysis, and follow the experts’ news and opinions.

While most people invest long-term in precious metals, you can invest in CFDs if you are unsure about that but still want to capitalize on this volatility. This will allow you to leverage both positive and negative fluctuations for your benefit. If you think that the prices will rise, you can take a long position. If you believe otherwise, you can take a short position. Keep yourself updated with the market trends and how the world deals with the pandemic. The final decision rests with you.

Like we know, no financial market ever gives us a guarantee of profit while investing in them. Therefore, going by the analysts’ idea, investing in silver completely might not be the best investment made shortly. However, it might be an excellent long-term investment considering the trend. 

If you are not sure of making a long-term investment, you might invest in contracts for difference, also called CFDs. It can help you occupy various positions, benefiting both low and high price fluctuations.  

Filed Under: Forecast

Is ETC a Good Investment? – Ethereum Price Prediction 2040

by Fxigor

Table of Contents

  • Ethereum chart
  • Is ETC a Good Investment?
  • Ethereum price prediction 2040
  • Will Ethereum go up?
  • Where will Ethereum Classic stand between 2025-2030?
  • Ethereum Blockchain History
  • How to purchase Ethereum Classic?

The Ethereum – US Dollar (ETHUSD) cryptocurrency world’s pair is one of the most actively traded pairs after Bitcoin. The ETHUSD pair has seen its share of volatility price movements, but lately, it has been on an upward trend.

Ethereum was created by Vitalik Buterin in 2015 and is one of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. It is a decentralized platform that supports smart contracts and allows developers to build apps (decentralized applications). Ethereum’s native cryptocurrency, Ether (ETH), is used to fuel transactions on the network and pay transaction fees.

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The ETHUSD pair comprises two leading digital currencies: Ether and the US Dollar. The USD serves as a “safe-haven” asset for traders because its value remains relatively stable against other digital currencies. On the other hand, Ether is much more volatile than other digital currencies, making it attractive for traders looking to capitalize on quick price movements.

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Due to its large market capitalization and liquidity, trading activity in the ETHUSD pair tends to be very high. As a result, prices tend to be well-balanced during periods of little volatility. However, when volatility increases, prices can swing drastically depending on news from governments or major corporations that have blockchain initiatives underway or are considering them.

 

 

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In recent weeks, we’ve seen strong bearish momentum in the ETHUSD, primarily because of declining demand for cryptos and strong US dollar currency. This trend is likely attributed to rising inflation fears among investors due to central bank money printing programs worldwide and increasing geopolitical uncertainty regarding trade wars and global security issues.

On top of this macroeconomic backdrop, Ethereum has recently released its new blockchain upgrade called Ethereum 2.0 or Eth2, which promises improved scalability and faster transaction times than its predecessor while using significantly less energy consumption than Bitcoin’s proof-of-work algorithm. This could potentially open up new use cases for Ethereum beyond just being a cryptocurrency payment system, such as enterprise-level data storage solutions and cloud computing applications which would make it even more attractive for institutional investors looking for long-term investments with higher returns potentials than traditional assets classes like stocks and bonds offer currently provide.

All in all, bearish sentiment surrounding Ethereum combined with growing institutional interest should continue supporting higher prices over time in the ETHUSD cryptocurrency pair. However, there will no doubt be periods of intense volatility along the way as major news events are released or government regulations change, suddenly affecting investor sentiment across different markets worldwide before finding equilibrium again at some point later down the line.

 

 

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Ethereum chart


 

Is ETC a Good Investment?

ETC can be a good investment if you want to invest in the crypto market. The reason is that ETC represents the cryptocurrency number 2 in the market that supports BTC. Therefore, if your projections are the bullish trends in the whole crypto market, then there is a high probability that ETC will follow the rising trend too.  However, every investment is risky, so be careful.

In my personal opinion, I avoid investing in the crypto market because there is no instrict value; ETC price is 100% correlated with speculating. We can not calculate the present value of all expected future cash flows as we can for equities. We also know that no country uses this currency to pay salaries, import, or export like ordinary currency pairs.

 

Ethereum price prediction 2040

Ethereum price prediction for 2040 shows a bullish outlook based on a recent year’s uptrend, and we can see prices around $280. BTC and ETC price correlation creates price projection. If the Bitcoin price breaks $100 000 and continues the trend in future years ETC price will rise. ETC is designed to support BTC; it has a higher speed and much faster transaction payment speed.

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The presented projected price of $280 is made by genetic algorithm symbolic regression where we took the past decade and solid bullish price in the first years. However, the cost of ETC is related to the whole crypto market, so the future is highly uncertain.

ETC prediction 2040

Please see ETC price prediction Table:

DateETC close
Aug 01, 20161.18
Sep 01, 20161.26
Oct 01, 20160.9
Nov 01, 20160.75
Dec 01, 20161.41
Jan 01, 20171.36
Feb 01, 20171.24
Mar 01, 20172.83
Apr 01, 20176.52
May 01, 201717.68
Jun 01, 201718.92
Jul 01, 201714
Aug 01, 201716.38
Sep 01, 201712.98
Oct 01, 201710.62
Nov 01, 201728.19
Dec 01, 201728
Jan 01, 201828.76
Feb 01, 201833.69
Mar 01, 201814.37
Apr 01, 201821.68
May 01, 201815.31
Jun 01, 201816.1
Jul 01, 201816.24
Aug 01, 201812.79
Sep 01, 201811.33
Oct 01, 20188.98
Nov 01, 20184.6
Dec 01, 20185.05
Jan 01, 20193.95
Feb 01, 20194.28
Mar 01, 20194.82
Apr 01, 20195.9
May 01, 20198.66
Jun 01, 20197.73
Jul 01, 20196.06
Aug 01, 20196.29
Sep 01, 20194.71
Oct 01, 20194.84
Nov 01, 20193.96
Dec 01, 20194.5
Jan 01, 202011.3
Feb 01, 20207.41
Mar 01, 20204.95
Apr 01, 20206.47
May 01, 20206.93
Jun 01, 20205.73
Jul 01, 20207.41
Aug 01, 20206.61
Sep 01, 20205.4
Oct 01, 20205.27
Nov 01, 20206.72
Dec 01, 20205.68
Jan 01, 20217.41
Feb 01, 202110.31
Mar 01, 202114.08
Apr 01, 202136.37
May 01, 202170.22
Jun 01, 202157.63
Jul 01, 202151.42
Aug 01, 202163.93
Sep 01, 202146.98
Oct 01, 202154.33
Nov 01, 202148.38
Dec 01, 202134.12
Jan 01, 202225.71
Feb 01, 202230.12
Mar 01, 202247.28
Apr 01, 202225.92
May 01, 202223.76
Jun 01, 202214.92
Jul 01, 202236.45
Aug 01, 202232.42
Sep 01, 202227.73
Oct 01, 202224.28
Nov 01, 202220.29
Dec 01, 202215.16
Dec 20, 202215.9
Dec 20,203293.2
Dec 20.2042105.6
Dec 20.2052190
Dec 20. 2062280.4

Will Ethereum go up?

Yes, Ethereum can go up in the following months and years as the second most crucial crypto in the market. However, ETC’s price is correlated with BTC’s cost and the whole crypto market.

Where will Ethereum Classic stand between 2025-2030?

By 2025, the prices may either retreat or rise according to the sentiment of different forecasting services. According to WalletInvestor, ETC will increase to $160 by December 2025. However, DigitalCoin says that it will trend at $253.

Ethereum Blockchain History

Ethereum blockchain was introduced to the world in 2015 by co-founders Gavin Wood and Vitalik Buterin through the support of Charles Hoskinson and Anthony Di Iorio. Ethereum Classic was formed through a hard fork in Ethereum Blockchain in July 2016. However, there was a backlash from the participants for the hacking decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) incident that led to the pilferage of 3.6 million coins of Ether.

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Ethereum Classic is an extension of the real version, as it did not retrogress the hack’s impact on the blockchain. Participants stood by the statement, “Code is the law.” So, it led to the conclusion that the existing Ethereum Blockchain resulted from the split. Exchanges and miners brace both blockchains enabling the Ethereum Classic network to carry on with ETC as a native coin.

These blockchains have taken different paths as the Ethereum blockchain is on its way to creating Ethereum 2.0. It is also on the way to shifting from the protocol of the POS to the POW algorithm that is also in use by Bitcoin.

On the other hand, the Ethereum classic is not looking at any such shift right now. The central team for the changes and developments of Ethereum classic does not exist, but many groups are in the works to make more updates in the open-source.

Recurring hacking incidents have adversely affected the ecosystem, coercing revelations in the blockchain infrastructure R&D and engineering company IOHK, founded by Charles Hoskinson, to create the Mantis project to release new updates and virtual updates to support the community.

Ethereum Classic can host decentralized applications. As ETC prices increase, the miners also get more rewards. This brings in more enthusiastic miners to participate in the network.

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When the Ethereum blockchain reduced its activities, it was now an open door for hackers. In Jan 2019, a 51% hack led to double spending of $1 Million on the Coinbase Cryptocurrency Exchange. This happens when a single entity owns all 51% of the network. As a result, Coinbase and many other exchanges put the ETC transactions on hold, leading to a price fall.

How to purchase Ethereum Classic?

To buy, purchase the Ethereum Classic on exchanges like Kraken or Binance. There is also an alternative to buying it through a Contract Of Differences.

CFDs help in maximizing gains of volatile financial assets. However, never forget the aspect of risk that comes along with cryptocurrencies.

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Filed Under: Cryptocurrency, Forecast

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2023. – What Determines the Price of Bitcoin?

by Fxigor

Table of Contents

  • Bitcoin chart and current Bitcoin price
  • What Is Bitcoin?
  • What is Bitcoin price prediction in 2023?
  • What Determines the Price of Bitcoin?
  • How Is Bitcoin Created and How Does Its Market Work?
  • Bitcoin Price Index
  • Bitcoin Price Prediction by Experts
  • End of 2021
  • 2022 to 2023
  • 2024 to 2025
  • Conclusion

With the evident growth, bitcoin has now become a household name. Whether owning it or not, people all over the globe know enough about bitcoin to get into a conversation about it. That’s not it; people nowadays are actively gaining knowledge about how to trade bitcoins because of their potential to give favorable earnings. 

Many finance experts predict that Bitcoin will only grow in the coming days. Some may say the opposite, but if we look at the current situation, the future of bitcoin looks promising. 

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Bitcoin chart and current Bitcoin price

What Is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin represents a decentralized digital currency based on blockchain technology that you can buy, sell and exchange directly without an intermediary like a bank. A platform created by someone, who is still unknown, has paved the way for many other cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency that is decentralized from any control. It is an open ledger, and the cryptocurrency, the digital currency, is traded free from any authority regulating it.

The purpose of its creation was to replace the actual currency with it and make it a global digital currency that could be exchanged irrespective of the geographical barrier. It uses a decentralized peer-to-peer mechanism, making it free from any intermediary or regulatory authority. 

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Since nobody or authority is regulating it, it is considered illegal to trade in many countries. Due to the risks involved, any government authority stays away from any matter that involves bitcoin. It has a transparent, decentralized platform that anybody can access. Even after so many risks are involved, projections of bitcoin prices are much higher. It is still growing in demand and will continue to grow because of its potential to replace paper currency. 

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What is Bitcoin price prediction in 2023?

Bitcoin price prediction based on technical analysis in the last ten years and the latest government trading policies shows gradual price increases. The expected price will stay below $20 000 in 2023.  Most countries accept Bitcoin crypto, and people see it as a safe currency.

 

What Determines the Price of Bitcoin?

The price of bitcoin determines supply and demand on the market because economic news can not impact the price of bitcoin. Bitcoin does not depend on the economy of any country or bank. However, world regulation and any ban on bitcoin trading (in any country) indirectly impact bitcoin prices. Additionally, Bitcoin price (BTCUSD) impacts the US dollar rate. If the US dollar price increase, BTCUSD will drop.

You can see that price of bitcoin dropped rapidly when China or India forbade bitcoin trading. All strict regulations in blockchain cryptocurrency trading can indirectly impact the bitcoin price. When some Bitcoin owners see terrible news related to Bitcoin (government restriction or social media information), they tend to sell Bitcoin, and the price of this cryptocurrency falls.

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How Is Bitcoin Created and How Does Its Market Work?

Bringing bitcoin into market circulation is done by bitcoin mining. Just like gold is mined out to be physically bought and sold. It is created when a miner solves a computative puzzle and creates a new block. As a reward, they issued bitcoins.

But, creating and granting bitcoins every time a block is created can bring too much bitcoin into circulation, resulting in a decline in the value of the bitcoin. So, to eliminate this fact, it follows a reward-halving technique. According to this, the reward is halved after every 210,000 blocks are created. 

The halving technique helps BTC (short for bitcoin) to maintain its scarcity and hence maintain its value in the market. Like gold, bitcoin is also limited in quantity, even after being a digital currency. This is why many people call bitcoin digital gold. 

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Bitcoin has proved its potential by showing its power to change how transactions were made earlier. It has stood up to every reason it was created for. Though it was created mysteriously by someone named Satoshi Nakamoto, its purpose was clear from the very beginning. It was designed to remove the transaction barriers and show the few people holding power to control the money that there is another way where transactions can be freely made over the globe. 

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Bitcoin Price Index

Bitcoin started as nothing. Its value at the beginning of its journey was not worth a single penny. Nobody had enough trust in this cryptocurrency for many reasons. It came out mysteriously, and its identity was only virtual. It was the first of its kind, so there was no knowledge about how cryptocurrency works and is traded. In simple words, people were not aware of the whole concept of cryptocurrency.

As time passed, people became aware of bitcoin, its worth, and how it plans to replace the overrated paper currency. With time its value increased, and more people over the globe started bitcoin trading. As the demand grew, after a few years of finding its worth, people accepted bitcoin and traded above $1,000.

Later, in 2017, bitcoin took the world by storm when it made bitcoin holders millionaires. In 2017, it reached its previous all-time high price of $20,000. It made a significant impact on the crypto market. People started to see the potential of cryptocurrency. As a result, more cryptocurrencies were introduced in the market. It was evident that even after being just a virtual currency, bitcoin is an asset one can hold for the long term.

But, bitcoin has a highly volatile identity. The absence of any regulatory body makes it even more unpredictable and unstable. This could be why after hitting the former highest price, it took a u-turn in 2018. There was an 80% fall in the price, and bitcoin started trading at its bottom, $3,000. It shocked many, as they had higher expectations, and now they were skeptical if it would ever rise again.

Many people knew the potential of this cryptocurrency and had faith that there would be a rise in its value. Traders took advantage of the bear market and opened long positions. In 2019, bitcoin started showing improvement. It started trading above $13,000 before falling below %7,000.

In 2020, it further came down below $4,000. It was the impact of the market crash due to the pandemic. But many countries like the US introduced many ways and efforts to survive the hit. As a result, the market condition improved, and bitcoin started moving upward. 

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In 2021, bitcoin showed its all-time high to date. It stood at the value of $65,000, which showed that bitcoin is never going out of trend. The rise and fall is the market condition, but it will find its way up. 

 

Bitcoin Price Prediction by Experts

Many experts have shared their reviews on Bitcoin and what they expect or predict about its future. Let us look at some of these forecasts.

  • Robert Kiyosaki- the author of the bestselling book Rich Dad, Poor Da- has praised bitcoin and gold and tells his readers the benefits of investing in both assets. He has predicted that bitcoin will one day reach up to $75,000.
  • Adam Back is a bitcoin developer and the CEO of Blockstream (the technology that helps store and transfer bitcoins). He has predicted that bitcoin can reach as high as $300,000 in the coming years. 
  • Plan B- Plan B is a bitcoin expert who created a stock-to-flow model based on the scarcity of bitcoin. According to this model, the price of bitcoin will go above $280,000 in the next two years.
  • Vinny Lingham- He is the CEO of Civic and an entrepreneur in South  Africa. He predicted that in 2017, bitcoin would fall as low as $3,000, which became true. 
  • Daniel Masters- he is an analyst at global advisor. He predicted in 2017, when the price went extremely low to $3,000, that the bitcoin value would increase up to $4,500. His prediction was proved correct, but the bitcoin price crossed even that mark and reached $20,000 that year. 
  • Peter Brandt- His prediction came more as a shock to the market. He said that there would be a more than 70% fall in the value of bitcoin. After reaching a high of $20,000, nobody expected bitcoin to fall to such a level. But his prediction became true when the price dropped to $3,000 in 2018.
  • Bloomberg- The huge finance media giant predicted in their research for 2020 that bitcoin will jump from $8,000 to more than $20,000. This prediction was also accurate.

 

End of 2021

Currently, bitcoin is trading above $60,000 after coming down from it is at an all-time high of $65,000. According to the technical analysis, if bitcoin remains in its bullish run, then it is expected to reach a price of $100,000 by the end of the year. But, if it exits the run, it will fall to as low as 50% of its current value.  

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2022 to 2023

When the bitcoin price reaches another peak in its bullish trend, the market will eventually experience a bearish trend for the next 2-3 years. But even in its bearish trend, it is not expected to fall below $20,000. Although this price can be overwhelming for many traders, they can use the technique of shorting at the bounce in the cost of the bitcoin. 

2024 to 2025

Bitcoin uses the halving technique, which reduces the bitcoin creation in the market by half after every four years. In this technique, the bitcoins issued or rewarded to every blockchain created are reduced by half. This helps in creating a scarcity of this asset and prevents the value from going down due to too much supply. If there is too much supply, it will not retain its importance as a unique cryptocurrency.

The next halving of bitcoin is scheduled for 2024. This may result in a bullish trend and reduced supply, taking bitcoin to a new high. Expert analysts have predicted this price to go beyond $400,000. 

Conclusion

The future of bitcoin is as bright as the sun. From the very beginning, it has experienced a bumpy road, and so is its lot going to be. Those who traded bitcoin have had a good experience. It was created with the motive of replacing global currencies. As it is taking steps towards this goal, it is succeeding. Being so technologically advanced has paved the way for many other cryptocurrencies. With increased cryptocurrencies in the market, it has become a layman’s term for the general public and is widely used. But if it can reach its goal, it is uncertain.

Purchasing bitcoin these days is as simple as buying groceries. You can purchase through your visa or master cards or online payment accounts like Venmo or PayPal. It is no longer restricted to the hands of the few. Still, anyone who wishes to invest or trade can purchase bitcoin, whether it’s a small vendor or significant multinational cooperation. It is safer to say that even after being highly volatile, bitcoin will retain its demand throughout its life.

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Filed Under: Cryptocurrency, Forecast

Litecoin Price Prediction 2022.

by Fxigor

Table of Contents

  • What is Litecoin?
  • Litecoin price today – Litecoin chart
  • Litecoin price prediction 2023
  • Litecoin price prediction 2025
  • Litecoin Price Analysis
  • Is LTC Still Worth Your Investment?
  • Litecoin Price Prediction for This Decade
  • Should You Invest in Litecoin?

What is Litecoin?

 Litecoin or LTC represents peer-to-peer cryptocurrency that aims to enable instant, near-zero cost payments that can be done between people or institutions. This cryptocurrency was created on October 7, 2011, by Charlie Lee. He is a former employee of Google and Engineering Director at Coinbase. LTC was designed as a peer-to-peer network. Litecoin was coined as a complementary currency to Bitcoin. It aimed to solve issues related to Bitcoin, like transaction timing and concentrated mining pools. It was also created to make crypto more accessible to the general public.

Litecoin and Bitcoin have many similarities if you look closely, but it cannot be neglected that Litecoin has some additional features and advantages. Some are improved capacity, higher supply limits, and faster block generation.

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The initial purpose of Litecoin was to present itself as ‘silver to Bitcoin’ gold.’ Some skeptics wonder if Litecoin will ever be more than just a rival of Bitcoin. It is evident that Litecoin is superior to Bitcoin in terms of technology, but that might not help it as Bitcoin has already established a market for itself. Its popularity has made it the gold standard of cryptocurrencies. Every new and old currency has to compete with its popularity. In addition to that, you can see a new next-generation altcoin emerging almost daily in the market. This has made the entire crypto space even more competitive.

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A decade ago, blockchain was a mystery for most of us. Today, you will find a lot of well-established cryptocurrencies that use blockchain technology. These virtual currencies, along with some more emerging ones, can replace traditional money and change the way see perceive currency. 

While Bitcoin remains the most notable cryptocurrency, Litecoin easily stands second. It hit the headlines in 2017 and has garnered the attention and investment of many investors. It reached a record high of $375, an 8200% year-on-year increase. It hit a total cap of $19.5 billion.

Volatility is the second name of the crypto space, and recently, this market has seen a continuous decline. This does raise questions like what is going on with Litecoin? What is the future of Litecoin? Will it go up again? Would it recover and set some more records in the future? Stay with us to know more.

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Litecoin price predictions have split analysts into two groups. One group is highly optimistic, while the other is still skeptical. The first group of analysts believes that Litecoin has not shown its full potential yet. According to them, the cryptocurrency can reach as high as $595 by 2030. However, the second group believes that the crypto can set another winter, and the trends will be bearish. As a result, they think that the value of Litecoin can depreciate and stand as low as $1.5 by the end of 2024.

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Have these statements left you more confused? Then, we have got you covered! Read this article, and you will be able to find the truth with us. We will take a closer look at the factors that can influence the value of Litecoin. We will also review its latest performance, analyze developments in crypto, and check Litecoin predictions for this year and the coming years.

Litecoin price today – Litecoin chart

Litecoin price today is at {price} that represents ({change_pct}) change percents than yesterday.

Litecoin price prediction 2023

Litecoin price projection for 2023. shows that this crypto can decline up to $50. While inflation is rising and real interest rate increase, Litecoin, and cryptocurrencies can decline because of the US dollar’s bullish trend.

The future of Litecoin remains uncertain, with a vast array of opinions surrounding the cryptocurrency’s potential for growth. Many analysts have predicted that Litecoin will experience significant bullish pressure over the coming years, and some anticipate that it may reach levels of up to $50 by 2023. However, other analysts suggest a more conservative outlook and expect Litecoin to remain relatively stable or even decline in value.

The overall health of the cryptocurrency market plays an important role in predicting the future value of any digital asset, as does the US dollar’s strength against other major currencies. With inflation rising and real interest rates increasing, Litecoin will likely be affected by the US dollar’s bullish trend. This could lead to a devaluation in its price over time if investors seek alternative assets such as gold or foreign currency reserves rather than investing in cryptocurrencies.

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Furthermore, several external factors could influence Litecoin’s performance over the coming years, such as regulation, adoption rates, and technological advancements. Regulatory issues can hamper Litecoin’s progress depending on how authoritarian governments decide to become about its use as an investment instrument. On the other hand, if institutions begin to accept cryptocurrencies as legitimate payment methods, then adoption rates could dramatically rise, leading to increased demand for Litecoin and an appreciating price.

Technological developments are also likely to play a significant role in determining where the value of Litecoin lies in 2023. The Lightning Network has been hailed as one of the most exciting technologies released this year. Its potential impact cannot be underestimated, allowing users to make near-immediate transactions at much lower fees than conventional networks offer. If mass adoption is achieved, this could significantly increase demand for Litecoin driving prices up substantially.

In conclusion, predicting exactly where Litecoin will stand in 2023 is impossible due mainly to external factors outside our control, such as government regulation or technological advancement, which can drastically alter market conditions overnight. It is safe to say that there is potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios, but only time will tell which way things go from here!

interest rate and inflation chart

 

 

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Litecoin price prediction 2025

Litecoin’s price projection for 2025 shows that this crypto can rise to $100. Based on bitcoin’s rising history, high inflation, and recession, there is high uncertainty related to Litecoin price.

 

Litecoin Price Analysis

Even though the crypto community was small when Litecoin was introduced, it expanded rapidly. The new cryptocurrency soon became famous in this community. Despite its popularity, its value remained at $3 for a long time. In November 2013, the crypto market saw the first notable price movement. LTC also felt its impact and rose to $50 per coin on November 28.

While this jump in price was significant and monumental, it was short-lived. In the following year, the price of Litecoin fell. Its price dropped to $10 in April 2014 and $1 in February 2015. The price of LTC ranged between $1 and $4 in the following two years. 

The launch date of Litecoin’s Segregated Witness (SegWit) protocol upgrade was announced in March 2017. This announcement impacted the cryptocurrency positively, and its rate rose to $16. The protocol changes were finally implemented in May of that year, and LTC became one of the first top 5 cryptocurrencies to have adopted SegWit.As a result, its price per coin was now $30.

While this happened, the dev team implemented the Lightning Network, which attracted many crypto enthusiasts. As a result, LTC reached $70 by September. As a result, the entire crypto market had bullish sentiments that pushed Bitcoin and altcoins’ prices to a new high. Litecoin also reached $375 in mid-December, establishing a new high.

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In 2018, even though Litecoin enjoyed its well-established position in the crypto space, its market remained bearish due to the overall descending market dynamics. This downward trend changed only a couple of times, once in February and then in April. As a result, its price decreased about five times within a year. However, things began to look better by the end of this year, and Litecoin finally gained momentum upward.

Litecoin price grew at the beginning of 2019. LTC prices saw an upward movement four times in the first half, and from $ 31.02’cpin, the prices jumped to $138.4/coin. Suppose you are wondering why it is because Liecpin halving was just around the corner. Finally, it happened on August 5.

Deams soon turned to soar when the much-expected price correction was done and Litecoin dropped to $68 by the mid of September. The coin price remained in a downtrend throughout the rest of the year. In December of the same year, the coin was trading at $40.

Is LTC Still Worth Your Investment?

Litecoin rose to fame as it was introduced as upgraded crypto that uses modern and relevant technologies. Litecoin was a pioneer in implementing Atomic swaps and SegWit protocol. It revolutionized the way cryptocurrency payments were made. Regarding technology and ease of operation, it was better than Bitcoin.

Despite being an upgrade of the previous crypto, it struggled in many ways. One of the main struggles that the altcoin faced was when Bitcoin also introduced the SegWit protocol. This made LTC lose one of its most crucial edges over its competition. 

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CEO of crypto hedge fund, BitBull Capital, Joe DiPasquale, expressed that the LTC price action did follow Bitcoin’s, but that was just history. The altcoin is facing a lot of troubles currently on many fronts. New capital flow is absent, and the transaction volume has remained tame. In addition to that, the failure of August’s halving made things worse. He also said that the miners are abandoning the LTC network due to reward reduction. This has also raised concerns regarding the security of the network.

The MD of Amulet (a platform for crypto-to-crypto derivations) also shared his opinion on the matter. He believes that the decline in LTC price is direct;y related to the concerns regarding the development of this currency and uncertainty about how it will be funded in the future. 

Charlie Lee supposedly told the director of the Litecoin Foundation, Franklyn Richards no one is showing any interest in working on protocol development work for Litecoin. Once this information got out, everyone’s perspective toward LTC changed. Since that announcement, everything changed for Litecoin and not for good. The declaration created panic amongst miners and currency holders.

A study by Sylvain Saurel asserts that Litecoin has minimal potential in the crypto world. According to him, the reason behind LTC’s success in 2017 was the success of Bitcoin. Litecoin was able to capitalize on the newfound interest in people for cryptocurrencies. As a result, there were fresh investors in the market, and the only alternative available for Bitcoin was Litecoin. However, if we consider the market cap, Litecoin remains among the top 10 cryptos globally; it still isn’t promising enough. 

According to Saurel, LTC is highly likely to ride among the top 10 cryptos for the time being but its future is bleak, especially when Bitcoin is about to revolutionize the financial and monetary system in the future.

Since mid-2019, the hash rate of Litecoin has reportedly declined. It reached a new low since 2018. 

One important thing to notice here is that the LTC network is working on some changes and improving it for good. The Litecoin Foundation has worked with Steve Burkett to upgrade the Litecoin protocol by implementing MimbleWible. This could give Litecoin its unique selling point and help it to move away from the shadows on Bitcoin. The downside of this could be reduced fungibility, which comes with drastic innovations and changes. In addition, thee carry can block Litecoin from important exchanges. 

All the above points hint that there is a lot of scope for improvement in Litecoin and it can do it faster than Bitcoin. However, considering that there are rapid developments of new crypto projects, with base codes more suited for microtransactions, can we presume that Litcoin has lost its opportunity to make it to the top?

Litecoin Price Prediction for This Decade

Even though the transaction volume made in the crypto market is not even close to that of the Forex market, it moves more rapidly than any other financial market. Therefore, after conjuring several sources, we have created a forecast for Litecoin enthusiasts. 

TradingBeasts.com, a crypto forecast website, performed technical analysis and predicted that Litecoin prices could reach slightly over $46.23 in 2021. It predicts the coin will reach $67.23 in 2021 and $64.68 by the end of 2022.

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Cryptoground.com provided a more optimistic prediction related to LTC prices. Its internal deep learning algorithm predicts that the coin can reach up to $88.30 within a year (growth of approximately 109.81%). Furthermore, the website predicts continued growth for LTC and believes it can reach as high as $347.8 by 2024 year-end.

CoinFan.com is yet another popular online forecasting service. According to this platform, LTC has a rather promising future. Talking about its long-term aspects, the service predicts reaching as high as $506.8 by May 2025.

As a cryptocurrency analyst, George Tung believes that LTC has one of the most positive projections. On the other hand, DigitalCoinPrice.com believes that the growth of Litecoin will be rather moderate. Even though the positive trend will prevail for a while, the crypto will only reach as high as $72 by the end of 2026.

CoinPriceForecast.com predicts that the coin will see an upward trend and will be able to reach the price point of $251.44 by the end of this decade.

These platforms have predicted a bullish stance for LTC, with some being more optimistic than the other. However, many believe that Litecoin will see a bearish sentiment. Walletinvestor.com, for instance, believes that LTC is a bad and high-risk investment option for one year. According to the platform, LTC can lose its value significantly in the coming years. While it can certainly bounce back, it is only expected to reach as high as $36.8 by the end of 2021. Walletinvestor.com also forecasts that within the next five years, LTC prices can drop to $0.77.

Should You Invest in Litecoin?

Trading any asset or commodity comes with a certain degree of risk; this risk gets maximized when you are trading a decentralized item like cryptocurrency. The crypto space has seen several ups and downs. It is still relatively new and unexplored. This makes predicting it’s future harder. 

The crypto space is volatile will be an understatement, but the same thing that makes it riskier also gives it the edge. If you plan to invest in Litecoin, you must consider the predictions made by established platforms.

If you are still skeptical or unsure, you can invest in CFD. CFDs dilute the risk factor and allow you to make money irrespective of whether the currency is going up or down. So you can simultaneously go short and long and make a profit.

Read about cryptocurrencies before you decide to make any investment. The best way of keeping the risk at a minimum is education. Keep yourself updated with the latest trends, follow crypto gurus, and learn from your mistakes. Start with a small investment and build your profile simultaneously.

Filed Under: Forecast

EUR GBP Forecast 2023 – Euro Sterling Currency Predictions

by Fxigor

Table of Contents

  • EUR/GBP Chart – EUR GBP Live Chart today price
  • EURGBP forecast in 2023 is bullish
  • EUR bullish scenario
  • GBP limited bullish
  • GBP/EUR Price Analysis
  • Brexit Deadline and Its Effect of the Market’s Direction for GBP and EUR Forecast
  • Conclusion 

Since Brexit’s discussions began, financial analysts have continuously shared their predictions on how it will affect the GBP exchange rate to the euro. Finally, on 1st February 2020, the act was completed, and the United Kingdom ceased to be a part of the European Union.

Since the vote in the UK in agreement with leaving the European Union, the pound and the euro have been in parity. To make things worse, COVID-19 and frequent lockdowns have worsened situations for the UK and the rest of the European economy. In addition, the global crisis has made the markets more volatile, with interest rates becoming negative. 

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Follow this article to learn more about the factors that can influence these currencies separately and together. Let’s see what First, let analysts are talking about.

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EUR/GBP Chart – EUR GBP Live Chart today price


 

 

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Foreign exchange is always done with two currencies that form one currency pair. Here, our currency pair is GBP/EUR. Get British pound is our base currency in this pair, and EUR or thin this pair euro is our counter or quote currency. This pair represents the relationship between these two currencies: how many euros are required to buy one pound. 

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GBP/EUR is a famous cross-currency pair. This is not amongst the most traded pairs such as USD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, EUR/USD, and GBP/USD, but it is a famous couple pairing USD pairs. Many investors trade this pair to diversify their portfolios.

EURGBP forecast in 2023 is bullish

EURGBP forecast for 2023. is moderately bullish. The predicted price for the end of 2023 is 0.92 based on technical and fundamental analysis. The monthly RSI is above 40, which is vital for EURGBP for several months. Strong resistance is 0.935 price level (March 2020. high).

EURGBPMonthly chart 2023 projection

EUR bullish scenario

  • Political Risk – In 2021, the EU will wield its trade, investment, and industrial policies and its ability to shape global norms and standards to move toward strategic autonomy.
  • EUR Growth Risks – The persistent burden from higher jobless rates to the economy of the worst damaged eurozone member states still argues for depressed interest rates in 2021, and further growth of QE (more PEPP and TLTROs)
  • The ECB is expected to follow the Fed, applying symmetric principles (no cuts and no hikes) and little adjustment me a minor ultra-accommodative monetary policy.
  • The EU will also have to finance its support in the market by continuing bond issuance.
  • The European Commission will launch further borrowing under the SURE and NGEU instruments, investing in green and digital technologies. Digitalization is a requirement for the disbursement of grants.

GBP limited bullish

  • European passport, which paved the way for automatic access to the single market and offering financial services in the EU, is now a significant concern. However, the two sides aim to agree on a memorandum of understanding on March’s future financial services policy cooperation.
  • The Brexit damage to the UK economy is done; however, it could continue adding pressure in the job market in 2021 along with the prolonged lockdowns as Covid-19 restrictions are likely to remain relatively tight both in the UK and across the Channel. Also, unemployment is set to rise government’s support schemes are loosened before social distancing rules are meaningfully eased.
  • Negative rates remain an option for the BoE; however, it looks likely that officials will try to avoid it.
  • The government and the BoE could struggle to wean companies and markets from the support measures implemented during the crisis and reduce the debt burden that will come into sharp focus once markets start looking past the current crisis.
  • Virus situations are still posing major challenges and significant factors That Can Influence EURGBP Value.

The main key driver for this currency pair is sentiment. The uncertainty created by the Brexit negotiations made the sentiments down the sterling value. Another factor that influenced the pair was COVID-19. The pandemic hit the UK economy harder than the rest of the eurozone. This made the investors nervous, and most were going short on GBP, selling GBP to buy for euros. 

The pandemic has also forced many nations to release unprecedented stimuli. If you plan to trade this currency pair, keep an eye on the Bank of England and the European Central Bank policies related to their monetary stimulus because lower interest rates and not promising enough to invite new investments or keep the existing ones. 

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GCP, manufacturing activity, consumer price indices, services, unemployment, and other macroeconomic factors can prove to be indicators that can assist you in making legible predictions. It would help if you looked at these reports to assess the future of this pair in 2021.

GBP/EUR Price Analysis

In 2019, when there was an economic slowdown in the eurozone, GBP saw a rise in its price by 5% against the euro. The rise was also positively influenced by the upcoming general elections of that year and followed to clarify the Brexit process. As a result, for the first time since the 2016 referendum initiated Brexit, GBP/EUR rose to the 1.20 level. 

In 2020, however, things changed, making the Forex market more volatile. In February, the GBP/EUR rates were hovering around 1.20 and plunged to 1.06 the following month because the lockdown was announced in the UK due to increased coronavirus patients’ numbers. The rates rose again to 1.14 in April but plummeted to 1.08 in September as the number of coronavirus cases began to rise again, hitting sterling and the Brexit negotiations. There were possibilities that the UK might leave without any deal by the year-end.

The expected GDP growth in August 2020 for the UK was estimated at 4.6%, but it was only 2.1% in reality. The industrial data was even weaker than expected. It saw a decline of 6.4%. Given the financial data, there were still concerns regarding the recovery of the UK economy. There were repoAlthough Rishi Sunak, UK Chancellor, might introduce a local furlough scheme, the sentiment still seemed skeptical. 

In 2020, political and economic changes were responsible for the fall of the sterling pound. In 2021, its recovery will again depend on these two factors.

Brexit Deadline and Its Effect of the Market’s Direction for GBP and EUR Forecast

Analysts refrained from passing any judgment or making any prediction before the Brexit deal was finalized. They were right. However, they held their opinions because this deal had a major impact on significant GBP and EUR relationships. 

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Last year, 15th October was the deadline to reach an agreement with the EU, which was open for an extension given the global lockdowns and social-distancing protocols. However, it was essential to wait for the final decision as the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee or the MPC, stated that it would give its next decision on interest rates once the Brexit deal is finalized, which was supposed to be 5th November 2020. 

Citibank’s analysts noted in the bank’s Forex report that the key driver for GBP was the re-emergence of Brexit. The controversial and new UK Internal Market Bill was raising no-deal Brexit concerns again. This resulted in the depreciation of the GBP.  The analysts were also concerned with the rate of recovery the UK economy was showing. It was slower than its peers. There were also speculations that the MPC might cut the rates to 0% and add £50bn QE.

A Danish investment bank, Saxo’s head, John Hardy, highlighted how high volatility is unavoidable for the sterling pound irrespective of whether the deal reaches any conclusion. There can be more fluctuation in the market on either side. Saxo predicted the sterling to remain on the lower side, below 1.10, if the deal doesn’t take place on time. 

Canadian Bank CIBC’s analysts also believe that the pressure will remain on the sterling pound. Before the Brexit deal was finalized, they predicted that the key variables would be the number of Covid cases. Another necessary facto essential the new trading arrangements that would occur the EU. The bank believed that the UK would need an orderly move to an all-inclusive free trade agreement.

The CIBC analysts explained that while they were expecting the deal to be far from comprehensive given how far-fetched it had become. With the tightening of the timeline, every other heading regarding Brexit will make the pound suffer a series of whipsaws. The analysts also expected to receive animations from a deal or no-deal situation. Along with the doubts regarding Brexit, the V-shaped recovery assumed by the BoE also looked challenging because of the tight lockdowns and restrictions in the movement. Whether or not the Uk goes into a second lockdown, the recovery in the service sector will be difficult.

Analysts at TD aw Brexit as a major risk in significant terms rather than strategic terms. They saw that the UK had a narrow deal, and the terms of Brexit will be very hawouldAccording to them, most of the damages that the real deal caused were already compensated in the trade. They view the pandemic as a larger threat to a more significant sterling pound than Brexit itself. They were right because the economy of the UK was hit particularly hard by the lockdowns and the pandemic at large.

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Commerzbank has a slightly better outlook on the euro rate; Commerzbank’s GBP would likely strengthen against the EUR in 2021. Wallet Investor also has a similar forecast for the currency pair. It predicts that the rate will remain between 1.10 – 1.12 for the remainder of the year.

Conclusion 

The UK leaving the EU was a monumental moment. It shook many people. A change of this size never goes down without waves of aftereffects. For now, the UK economy seems to be recovering, but it is too soon to predict anything, given that the world is still dealing with the pandemic. If you wish to gain from Forex without risking too much, you can invest in CFDs. CFDs or Contracts for Differences allow you to profit motive of the market direction.

Filed Under: Forecast

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