Jason Sen Trader Strategy: The Clean, Confluence-Driven Way He Times Entries


This interview features Jason Sen in Phuket, a veteran trader with 30+ years in markets who went from the London floor options to running a global technical-analysis signal service and now manages accounts. Filmed at one of his villas, Jason explains how experience, discipline, and daily consistency power his results—and why he delivers actionable levels to clients every single morning.

You’ll learn Jason Sen’s simple, repeatable playbook: four key timeframes (weekly, daily, 4-hour, 1-hour), core tools (trendlines, Fibonacci, candlesticks), and broad moving averages (55/100/200/500) to find high-probability confluence. He shows when Bollinger Bands help in sideways markets, how he uses slow stochastics for confidence, and why he often risks ~1% with tight 20–25-pip stops only where the chart structure makes sense. Expect practical talk on trailing stops without getting shaken out, cherry-picking A-setups, and sitting on your hands until price reaches your level—so you trade less, stress less, and stack cleaner wins over time.

Jason Sen Playbook & Strategy: How He Actually Trades

Core Framework & Timeframes

Here’s the scaffold Jason uses to stay objective and avoid overtrading. He builds a top-down view so every decision is anchored to a higher-timeframe structure before he zooms in to execute.

  • Start every week by marking weekly swing highs/lows and major trend direction.
  • On the daily chart, map active trendlines and key horizontal levels; note where price is relative to the 55/100/200/500 MAs.
  • Use the 4-hour for structure confirmation (channels, flags, retests).
  • Use the 1-hour to plan entries with precise stops; never flip the bias on the 1-hour if daily/weekly say otherwise.
  • If the higher timeframes disagree, stand down until they align.

Building Levels & Confluence

Jason’s edge is confluence—stacking reasons at a price so entries are obvious and stops are small. This section shows how to build those “A+” zones that deserve your risk.

  • Draw clean, recent trendlines (wicks and bodies) and extend them; delete messy lines.
  • Anchor Fibonacci from the most recent clear swing to the reaction high/low; watch 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% where they overlap with prior highs/lows.
  • Add moving averages only as a “third vote,” not a signal—55/100/200/500 as broad location filters.
  • Note round numbers and prior session highs/lows; mark overlapping clusters only.
  • If you can’t circle a tight confluence zone with 2–4 reasons, it’s not an A-setup.

Entry Triggers (Candles That Matter)

He waits for the price to come to him and then looks for a simple confirmation candle. This keeps him out of chop and gets him on the right side of fresh momentum.

  • Only consider entries at pre-planned confluence zones; never chase mid-range.
  • Triggers: rejection wicks, engulfing candles, inside-bar breaks, or clean retests after a breakout.
  • For ranges, look for false breaks that snap back inside; enter with the snap, not before.
  • If the trigger candle is oversized, halve position size or skip—don’t blow the stop distance.
  • No trigger within two bars of touching the level? Pass and wait for the next touch.

Risk & Position Sizing

Jason survives by keeping losses tiny and consistent so winners have room to compound. Use this section to hard-code your risk math before you click.

  • Risk ~1% per trade by default; cut to 0.5% if the market is messy or newsy.
  • Stops belong beyond the structure that proves you wrong (above the swing for shorts, below for longs).
  • Typical FX stop template: ~20–25 pips when structure allows; widen only if the level demands it and reduce size accordingly.
  • Never move a stop wider after entry; re-enter later if needed.
  • If you stack correlated trades, cap total exposure to 1–1.5% across the basket.

Trade Management & Exits

The goal is to protect capital first, then let the tape pay you when it runs. Jason prefers mechanical rules that reduce second-guessing.

  • First scale/secure at 1R or first opposing level; move stop to breakeven only after market proves momentum (e.g., closes beyond your level).
  • Trail behind new swing highs/lows or a short MA “guide” on the execution timeframe; give trends space on strong days.
  • If price stalls at the next HTF level, bank partials and re-assess—don’t pray through obvious supply/demand.
  • For ranges, take profits near the opposite band; for trends, hold a runner until a structure break.
  • One active decision per trade: either manage to target or trail—not both.

Tools That Earn Their Keep

He keeps indicators simple and secondary to price. Here’s how he uses them without letting them use him.

  • Moving averages: treat 55/100/200/500 as location and slope context, not signals.
  • Slow stochastics: confidence check for exhaustion or continuation—never a standalone entry.
  • Bollinger Bands: useful in sideways markets for mean-reversion touches and squeezes; ignore in strong trends.
  • If an indicator conflicts with price/level confluence, follow price.
  • Delete any study you haven’t used in a month.

Trend-Following Play

When markets are directional, he rides clean pullbacks into structure. Use these steps to align and hold.

  • Trade only in the direction of the daily trend and weekly bias.
  • Buy higher-lows at confluence (Fib + MA + prior high turned support); sell lower-highs in downtrends.
  • Enter on a rejection/engulfing off the level; place a stop beyond the invalidation swing.
  • First target: prior impulse high/low; then trail under/over swing structure to ride the leg.
  • Skip the third pullback—quality decays as trends age.

Range-Trading Play

Sideways conditions demand different rules. Jason flips to mean-reversion with strict boundaries and faster profit-taking.

  • Define the range with two clean touches on both sides; mark midline.
  • Fade only at extremes that align with a confluence cluster; never fade in the middle.
  • Confirmation: false-break wick back inside the range or an inside-bar break towards the mean.
  • Target the midline first, far side second; stop goes outside the false-break wick.
  • Stand down if a close holds outside the range—trend may be starting.

Breakout & Retest Play

Big moves often come after compression. He prefers the retest for tighter risk and fewer fakeouts.

  • Identify squeezes: narrowing candles, band pinches, or multi-touch wedge edges.
  • Avoid blind breakouts; wait for a close beyond structure, then a controlled retest.
  • Enter on the first bullish/bearish confirmation candle off the retest; stop beyond the retest low/high.
  • Target measured move (height of range/wedge) and the next HTF level.
  • If the retest fails quickly back inside, flip bias only if the HTF trend supports it.

Daily Workflow & Execution Discipline

Consistency beats intensity. This is the routine that keeps him sharp and selective.

  • Pre-market: mark levels on weekly/daily, refine on 4-hour/1-hour, and write down your A-zones with triggers.
  • Set price alerts at the levels; do not stare at charts between alerts.
  • Take only setups from the written plan; if you ad-lib, reduce size to 0.25–0.5%.
  • Log every trade with a screenshot, level notes, and reason to exit or hold.
  • If you breach rules (chase, widen stop), stop trading for the day.

News, Volatility, and “Do Nothing”

Not trading is a position. Jason’s playbook includes saying no when the odds are muddy.

  • Ahead of major news, cut size or skip unless your stop can sit beyond silly volatility.
  • If HTFs clash (e.g., weekly up, daily down), trade lighter or wait for alignment.
  • After two consecutive losses in the same idea, stand down—your read is off.
  • If spreads widen or liquidity thins (rollover, holidays), avoid tight-stop strategies.
  • Protect mental capital: cap daily loss at ~2R and shut it down when hit.

Self-Audit & Continuous Improvement

Edges fade without review. Bake learning into your week so your best setups become your only setups.

  • Tag every trade by setup (trend-pullback, range-fade, breakout-retest) and market condition.
  • Calculate win rate, average R, and expectancy per tag monthly; keep only green tags.
  • Prune or rewrite any rule behind a losing tag; test changes in simulation before going live.
  • Redraw your “A-setup checklist” quarterly and keep it to one screen.
  • Celebrate adherence, not P&L—pay yourself psychologically for following the plan.

Build Confluence first, trade less: levels, timeframes, clean triggers.

Jason Sen keeps it simple: stack reasons at a price or don’t trade at all. He works top-down—weekly and daily for bias, then 4-hour and 1-hour for precision—so every idea is anchored before he thinks about a trigger. Clean trendlines, prior highs/lows, Fibonacci clusters, and broad moving averages do the heavy lifting. If two or more of those don’t overlap, Jason calls it noise and moves on.

The magic is waiting for the price to tag your zone and then ask for one clean confirmation. Think rejection wick, an engulfing candle, or a retest that holds—nothing fancy, just proof that buyers or sellers showed up. If a trigger prints far from the level, he skips it; distance kills the risk-reward he’s after. Trade fewer, better shots, and let the confluence do the filtering instead of your hopes.

Risk one percent, use tight structural stops, never widen losers.

Jason Sen is ruthless about risk because it’s the only thing a trader truly controls. He sizes most ideas at roughly one percent, so a string of duds won’t knock him off his game. Stops live just beyond the structure that proves the trade wrong—above the swing for shorts, below the swing for longs. If the chart can’t support a tight stop, he simply cuts position size or passes.

The hard rule, according to Jason Sen, is never widen a loser once you’re in. If price violates the level, he’s out and done, reserving mental capital for the next clean setup. He avoids dollar-based or fixed-pip stops unless they align with structure, because context beats convenience. Small, consistent losses are the subscription fee for catching the occasional runner.

Let volatility guide size and targets; trail winners, bank partials early

Jason Sen adjusts the size to the market’s mood instead of forcing a fixed bet. When ranges expand, he trims position size and widens breathing room so normal swings don’t tag his stop. In quiet markets, he does the opposite—slightly larger size with tighter stops because the tape moves more slowly.

For exits, Jason Sen takes partial profits at logical levels and then trails the rest behind evolving structure. He lets Average True Range or recent swing distance inform both distance-to-target and trailing logic. If momentum fades, the trail gets hit, and he’s happy to hand back a little to keep a lot. If momentum accelerates, the runner rides, turning ordinary wins into outliers.

Prefer mechanics over prediction: planned entries, retests, and disciplined exit.s

Jason Sen treats forecasting as a distraction and mechanics as the edge. He writes levels before the session, sets alerts, and waits—no chart-staring, no impulse clicks. Entries are pre-planned and only taken on a clean confirmation candle. If the price runs without the retest, he lets it go and saves risk for the next scripted shot.

On exits, Jason Sen decides before entry how he’ll manage: partial at first objective, then trail behind structure. Stops are placed where the idea is invalid, never where it merely “hurts.” If conditions change or higher timeframes conflict, he stands down instead of forcing a narrative. The win is following the rules; profits are the byproduct.

Diversify by market and setup; skip trades when higher timeframes conflict.

Jason Sen spreads his risk across uncorrelated instruments and distinct playbooks, not just more tickets. If FX trends are messy, he’ll shift attention to indices or commodities where structure is cleaner. He also rotates between setup types—trend pullbacks, range fades, and breakout-retests—so no single market mood dictates his month. That mix keeps his equity curve steadier and cuts the chance of getting chopped by one environment.

When the weekly and daily charts disagree, Jason Sen slams the brakes. He refuses to buy lower highs in a daily downtrend just because the 1-hour looks cute. If higher timeframes are misaligned, he parks the idea and waits for agreement or a level that creates it. Discipline here saves him from “almost” trades that drain focus and slowly bleed the account.

Jason Sen’s edge is brutally simple: stack confluence across four timeframes, then act only when price taps a pre-planned level with structure to lean on. He maps weekly and daily first, refines on the 4-hour and 1-hour, and keeps broad moving averages (55/100/200/500) on all charts so he always knows “where” he is before deciding “what” to do. That top-down scan, plus clean trendlines, Fibonacci, prior highs/lows, and occasional stochastics for confidence, creates obvious zones where risk can be tiny and conviction high.

Risk is non-negotiable: about one percent per idea, stops placed beyond the structure that proves the trade wrong—never a fixed pip count slapped on every setup. In practice, that often means tight 20–25-pip stops that can be tightened further if the level holds, letting him defend capital while staying in the move that finally runs. He won’t trail too fast or punch to breakeven at the first wiggle; if a level is good enough to enter, it can be tested more than once, so he waits until the rice clearly clears the zone before ratcheting protection. The goal is fewer, higher-quality trades, consistent small losses, and outsized wins when momentum expands.

Finally, the discipline is daily: write levels, set alerts, sit on your hands, and only execute the plan when price arrives—no chasing, no narrative-spinning. When volatility picks up, reduce size and give the stop a little room; when it’s quiet, tighten things and be more selective. Protect mental capital with hard risk caps, diversify by instrument and setup so one market mood can’t wreck the week, and remember that not trading is often the best trade. If you’re losing sleep, the size is wrong—fix that first, and your read of the market will usually follow.

Zahra N

Zahra N

She is a passionate female trader with a deep focus on market strategies and the dynamic world of trading. With a strong curiosity for price movements and a dedication to refining her approach, she thrives in analyzing setups, developing strategies, and exploring the global trading scene. Her journey is driven by discipline, continuous learning, and a commitment to excellence in the markets.

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