How to trade long term forex strategy and How to Plan an Effective Long-Term Forex Trading Strategy in 2020?

In the world of forex, it would be essential to have different types of trading strategies for the short term. Along with it, long term planning is equally essential. With the forex trading strategy for the long run, you aim towards larger prospective profits with even little amount of capital investments. Also, these wouldn’t translate to premature stop losses, unlike trade approaches that are short term.

Making an efficient trading strategy for the long term

Recently we created article Forex Weekly Strategy.Traders need general advice about How to Plan an Effective Long-Term Forex Trading Strategy because trading rules are not only important things. Traders need to see bigger picture.

It’s better to have a clearer picture of what you would like to have from the forex market. The target has to break down the following.

Fundamental analysis and long term system and COT report

The term would refer to proper tracking of the progress of commanding economy heights while are known as fundamentals that would go along with the aforementioned idea. Fundamentals would be things such as interest rates, employment, CPI along with politics.

While trading in the big picture, you would have to know about fundamentals for the involved currencies. It’s much better not to avoid interest rates when trading a bigger picture. Upon holding currency trade for higher than a day, you’ll also notice a thing which is known as rollover. This depends on the involved currencies with the trade direction, you would also pay little interest or also earn interest as well. For the part, if a country pays the ideal amount of interest, the world traders purchase currency against weak currencies while forming trends.

For me, Interest rate, Industrial production, GDP and current high important news are the most important information that I check before any new long term trade. For example, if I want to trade EURUSD I need to know these important facts about the European Union and US economy. Daily chart and Fundamental analysis need to show the exact same direction of the trade before any trade execution.

I like every Tuesday to check the COT report. How to use the COT report in forex trading? In the COT report is most important to figure out Reversals Type One or Reversal Type Two and using knowledge from that to assume the next long term movement in the forex market.
What we can see in COT report :

Try to see Reversals Type One – When the spread between commercial traders and large investors is big, then we should expect a market reversal.

or

Reversal Type Two – When large traders start to reverse their positions (i.e. the large investor’s line’s trend starts reversing), we can expect a market reversal most of the times.

Weekly charts and price levels

In step 2, traders need to see the big picture using the weekly chart, to get the idea for Long Term Forex Strategy. On the weekly chart, the trader needs to analyze important levels, last month and last year high and low, close prices, important Fib. levels. Important price levels are trader’s edge, an important trigger for any trade.

So, if you’re not grasping on the happening on currency pairs, it is better to view all weekly chart details with a step back. This would stop you from making uneducated guesswork.

Larger weekly based charts make move on your daily chart appear trivial while providing you with a better feeling about the data you’re analyzing. With a step back you can minimize second-guessing.

With such items, you also make strong decisions for trading for supporting positions that you hold. You must never make trades just for making these. Also, you must easily be able to explain all of these to third parties upon having. If you follow the rule, it would help in avoiding boring trade. With real trading, especially larger picture trading, it gets slow and boring. A lot of traders get brought in and trade in a quick and leveraged way, and due to this there are a lot of failing forex traders.

Forex Trading Technical analysis for long term strategy

The technical analysis takes a lot of forms while you’re putting this into practice. If you’re saying technical analysis for a single trader, they would also think about moving averages, while another market operator would think of MACD while mentioning technical trading.

Except for price levels, technical analysis can show divergence, supply and demand areas, Pivot point areas, oscillators levels such as RSI levels, Stochastic levels, MACd, etc.

There are no perfect rules for trading orders which can tell you when to buy or sell the asset with high probability. Trading is like signature unique, and traders need to develop an original methodology for trading and for market understanding.

While forex trading strategy with a bigger picture, you look out for different technical aspects for supporting trade. So, if you’re concerned about purchasing a currency pair, it shouldn’t be technically overbought.

Am I true or wrong?

And true and wrong. Momentum traders can buy overbought assets very easy but the mean reversion trader will sell. Both can be on the right side.

Some technical analyses must be involved in supporting the decision. This helps with timing while helping to avoid getting within a bad time. Overall you would also get the right idea, but with technical analysis, in the future, you’re also able to reduce associated risks.

Trading with long term forex trading strategy is all about taking all essentials into account while coming towards an informed decision. This is one of the best available methods of forex trading that has been utilized by experts.

What is my Best Long Term Forex Strategy? I like when fundamental news and technical chart show the same. For example, the strong engulfing pattern on the daily chart or weekly chart with strong industrial production for rising currency for me is the best trading opportunity.

Forex Risk Management Strategies That You Should Know

What is the risk in forex trading? Risk is the potential for uncontrolled loss of capital in trading. Leverage in trading is a borrowed capital to increase the potential returns and in the forex market, high leverage is up to 1:1000. So traders can trade with more money than they have.

Risk percentage = Risk / Capital

But there is the problem there – high risk in the trading cause that 95% of traders lose money. Traders need to know risk management trading forex rules.

Look at this table again and again:

As we know if trader risk and make drawdown he/she will need more percentage of money to recover. If you lose 50% of your equity you need to earn 100% to recover.

The main reason why many traders don’t make money is not because of inexperience but from the poor risk management trading Forex. Due to the unpredictable nature of the Forex market, it is extremely risky. Hence, Forex risk management is considered to be the success factor irrespective of whether you are a professional or a new trader.

In this article, you will get an insight into the top risk management strategies that will help you to make profits, and avoid loss, so that you can have a good experience while trading Forex.

Risk management strategies in forex trading

In prop companies, traders will get Risk management rules and for example, it looks like this:

1) Do not fall below X% relative drawdown. For example 2% or 4%.
2) Do not fall below X% absolute drawdown. For example, absolute drawdown is the sum difference between the initial capital risked and a minimal point below that level and a lot of companies set to be 5%.
3) Do not risk over X% on each trade. For example 1% per trade or 0.5% per trade etc.
4) Do not have more than a 2% weekly drawdown. In that case, if some trader has above 2% he/she will not trade that week anymore.
5) Position size need to be calculated based on this formula.

Of course, rules can be more detail, this is just an example.

Risk management strategies and related to position size calculation too.

Position size = Winrate – ( 1- Winrate / Risk Reward Ratio) is an example of Kelly criterion (one of the simplest) but in many companies, traders use their own formulas.

If you trade alone, as a retail trader, you need to define your own rules and stick to those rules. If you lose more than wished in this day or week – just stop trade and wait for next week. Do not chase for profit.

Risk management trading Forex tips – risk management for forex trading beginners

Here are some of the risk management trading Forex strategies that would be beneficial for both experienced and beginner traders.

#1: Have a proper understanding of the risks involved in trading Forex

If you are new in the world of trading, the best thing you can do is to educate yourself. Remember that your approach towards Forex trading should be similar to that of any career, in which you need to learn about the subject in detail.

However, there is a diverse range of resources such as Forex videos, webinars, and articles that can provide you with the absolute knowledge you are seeking. After gathering sufficient information on the various aspects of Forex trading, you can test yourself by opening a demo account.

The foreign exchange market and risk management is based on the trader’s plan when and how much lots he/she will trade.

In most articles on the internet for retail traders, the maximum recommended exposure is 2%, where traders risk no more than 2% of their available capital. In my prop company, the maximum risk is 0.5% per position and a maximum weekly drawdown of 2%. This is forex exposure management.

By using virtual funds, you can use the free account to trade Forex. Such type of account will help you to trade in the markets without any risks. As such, you will be able to know the functioning of Forex markets, the different trading platforms, and utilize various trading strategies.

#2: Make use of stop-loss in managing Forex risks

Typically, a stop-loss mechanism is a process of protecting the trades from unforeseen movements in the trading market. Simply put, it is a price that has been set earlier in the system at which the trade will close automatically.

Hence, a stop-loss is very important if you want your trade to end fine. You may consider setting the stop-loss at such a level where you won’t lose above 2% of the trading balance for a given trade. After you have set the loss margin, it is wise not to increase it.

That’s because there is no point in having a safety parameter if you won’t use it properly. Although there are certain types of these in Forex, determining your stop will rely on your experience. Moreover, analyze your stops frequently to find out if they were successful or not.

Of course, there are the traders that do not like stop-loss because they can be “washed up”. It is a situation when the price hits your stop loss and then continues in your wished direction and instead of profit traders deal with a loss.

Because of that a lot of traders use hourly close stop loss or daily close stop loss. For example, the trade will be closed if daily close price is above or below some level.

Traders need to have some kind of stop-loss anyway.

#3: Never risk further if you can’t lose more

This is considered as one of the basic rules in the risk management of Forex trading. It is unfortunate that this particular mistake is very common in Forex traders who have just started out. As the market is very unpredictable, traders who are putting in more money rather than they could afford, are highly exposed to the Forex risks.

Recovering a Forex capital that has been lost is quite difficult because you need to make a greater amount to cover for your loss. It is often seen that after a loss, many traders try to recover in the following trade. This is the worst thing to do, because the account balance is low, and the risk increases. However, a tested rule is not to risk above 2% of the account balance a single trade.

Example:
We have for example trader who had $100 000 and he traded 1 lot per time. After 500 trades he has $50 000 and he still trades using 1 lot. This is a mistake. Less money less position size. He should trade with 0.5 lots.

#4: Limit the use of leverage in managing Forex risk

In layman’s terms, leverage provides you with the chance of magnifying the profits that were made out of your trading account. However, there is a possibility of a risk, and it increases. For instance, leverage on an account of $400 of 1:200 generally means that a trade can be placed for about $80,000 (200 x $400). Similarly, when you apply a 1:500 leverage, you can trade for $200,000 (500 x $400).

Hence, by investing $400 you can experience a complete impact of $200,000 or $80,000. But the risks are quite high as you can have more profits if the market stands with you. Higher leverage can attract higher levels of risk. For beginners, it is suggested to avoid high leverage.

I like high leverage but I do not want to risk more than I planned.

#5: Never have unrealistic profit expectations while managing risks

The main reason why new traders are more aggressive lies in the fact that they are having unrealistic expectations about earning profits. They harbor a false belief that only by aggressively trading they are going to earn more returns in a short time. Maintaining a conventional approach and realistic goals are the only way to get started in Forex trading.

When you are realistic, you can find out where you went wrong. It is very crucial to make an exit when you realize that you haven’t made a good trade. Although it is natural to try in such a way so as to turn the worst situation to a good one, it is not the same with Forex trading and might end in disaster. Poor decisions in trading are often fueled by greed.

#6: Manage Forex trading with take-profit

When you are clear about your expectations, a simple way of securing the profits is to use a take-profit. Just like the stop-loss, this works in the opposite way. A stop-loss automatically closes a trade for preventing further loss, whereas a take-profit automatically closes a trade as soon as it hits a specific profit level.

Based on the expectations of each trade, you will be able to set a specific profit margin and decide what should be the exact risk level for a particular trade. It is better to aim for a 2:1 ratio where the anticipated profit will be twice the risk associated with the trade.

#7: Have a proper plan in Forex trading

It is pretty common with new traders where they make an entry to the platform and make trades relying on their instinct, or following a piece of recent news. While some of them might lead to great trades, but in fact, they are the outcomes of sheer luck. For managing the risks involved in Forex trading, you will need to follow a plan that will outline a few important things.

Those include opening a trade, closing it, fixing a stop-loss to take-profit ratio, percentage of balance you can afford to risk, and so on. Generate a plan and strictly adhere to it. A good plan will keep personal emotions at bay so that you can’t over-trade.

The plan will bring discipline in your trading, and help you in managing risks. Never ignore the rules or tend to bend them, because the failure or success of every trade will depend upon it. A proven way of creating a great trading strategy is to follow and learn from people who are experts in this area.

#8: Always prepare for the worst

As aforementioned, the Forex market is very unpredictable. Despite this, there are lots of evidence in the form of past events that show how a market reacts in a certain situation. Previous happenings or events might not get repeated, but it shows a trend.

Hence, it is crucial to consider the history of a particular currency pair that you are trading. Develop an action plan that will save you from a bad situation if that happens. It is unwise to underestimate the possibilities of sudden price movements. As such, you need a plan that will sail you through it.

#9: Expand your Forex portfolio

You may have heard about a popular risk management rule, which suggests never to put all the eggs in a single basket. Well, the same is true for Forex trading as well. When you have a wide range of investment, it will protect you in situations where the other market will compensate for the particular one that has been dropped.

With this frame of mind, you will be able to manage the risk by making sure that it’s a part of the portfolio and not everything. Another way of expanding your portfolio is to exchange a few currency pairs.

#10: Try to control your emotions

When you are trading in Forex, you should know how to control your emotions. Failing to keep a tab on the emotions won’t allow you to reach a suitable position from where you can earn the profits from trading. That’s because emotional traders find it hard to adhere to the trading strategies and rules.

Stubborn traders will not exit despite losing streaks and expect that they would come out with shining colors after a few trades. But such a thing might never happen. A wise trader will withdraw after realizing the mistake with the smallest loss.

Once out, they will be patient and enter the market whenever an opportunity appears. A trader on winning streak might become greedy and stop following the proper risk management strategies.

Conclusion:

The best way in which the aspects of Forex trading works will vary from one trader to another and depend on their perspectives. Some traders will take calculated risks than the others. It is recommended to start practicing in a conventional way of reducing the amount of risk. Do not chase for profit wait for opportunity and think about risk every day.

Forex weekly strategy

Forex weekly strategy is a strategy based on position trading, where trader keeps trading position several days and weeks.

If you have a misconception that traders need to be glued to the trading screen all the time, then you are wrong. You should not start with the giant trading pattern. You need to set your focus on weekly patterns and it can offer you reliable highs. Forex market traders prefer to intraday trading formula just because of steadily growing market volatility. So, they can achieve greater yields within a limited and small timeframe. A weekly forex trading system can offer you better results. A weekly chart can help you to decrease the loss rate and find a long term position.

Best momentum trading strategy:

You will have to implement the best momentum trading strategy in order to manage your trading account. The momentum trading indicator can reduce the chance of risk. It can also enhance the chance of returns. The effects of the momentum strategy are truly widespread.

What is momentum trading? This term momentum is taken from Newton’s first motion law. The law clearly states that where an object in motion tends to stay in motion until an external force is applied to it. In the same way, the market in motion tends to stay in motion rather than the reverse. This is the main reason for which momentum strategy is very much powerful.

A currency that has rising value will actually have so many ups and downs. But it all happens in the larger and consistent rising trend.

Less time-frame:

Weekly charts can add an advantage to your overall market trend. It is less time consuming and labor-oriented than daily or intraday charts. Traders who follow the weekly trading system can easily spend more time without sitting in front of monitors. It is actually a time-saving and easy method to look upon the overall market and get a solid understanding of the trading market.

Indicators in weekly strategy:

There are three different kinds of indicators. If you want to follow the weekly timeframe forex strategy, then you should use these three indicators are as follows:

SMA or EMA – moving average indicators
Oscillators such as Stochastic, RSI, MACD
Trading patterns based on candle formations and shapes

Various trading conditions in strategy:

Long trade entry and exit on a weekly chart:

You need to wait for a 50 week MA in order to cross above 200 weeks MA OR Bullish pattern (bearish engulfing pattern or any other).
On Daily RSI Indicator you need to draw the trend line from last bottom price (last oversold price) till today’s price.
Stop-loss will be reached when the price close is below the RSI trend line.

Short trade entry and exist on weekly chart:
You need to wait for a 50 week MA in order to cross above 200 weeks MA OR Bearish pattern (bearish engulfing pattern or any other)
On Daily RSI Indicator you need to draw the trend line from the last upper price (last overbought price) till today’s price.
Stop-loss will be reached when the price close is above the RSI trend line.

General guidelines:

The weekly trading strategy is totally based on the analysis of the exponential moving average. If you want to use this moving trading system effectively then it is very much essential that last week’s candlestick is closed at the level above the EMA value.

While you are in the direction of a larger market then you need to take only stochastic signals. You will have to ignore the bearish signals at this point. The reverse signals from stochastic or RSI are generally used for taking profits. It is needed when the price is surpassed by the moving average. The candlestick pattern or some other methods can confirm the stochastic signals or RSI signals.

The weekly forex trading system is very much appropriate for those traders who do not have much time for monitoring the whole trading scenario and they find the time to check the market scenario once a day. It will also give benefits to the traders from the long-term trading. This also allows for monitoring the market trends. The traders can work still in the volatile market situation. Candlestick analysis is the best tool for using in any type of strategies in any types of typical conditions. The forex weekly charts can assume the availability of sufficient funds deposited. This weekly chart can provide traders with a profitable way in order to achieve and gain profit. It provides traders with significant yields as well.

This weekly momentum strategy is excellent for trading stocks and long term rising equities.