TraderNick’s Trend-Following Trader Strategy: Fundamentals First, Simple Entries


This interview features TraderNick (Nick) sitting down on a trading podcast to break down how he actually approaches markets today—why he leans swing-trader, how he blends macro fundamentals with clean technicals, and what has matured in his process over the last few years. He matters because he’s one of the few creators who both trade live and builds tools to make fundamentals usable, so you get a practitioner’s view rather than theory.

In this piece, you’ll learn the core of Nick’s edge: start with fundamentals for directional bias (think CPI, jobs data, GDP, central-bank path), then execute with classic trend-following entries on the 4H/D1—break-and-retest, higher-highs/higher-lows—and manage trades strictly with trailing stops. You’ll also see why he goes slow on risk, how systematic scoring (via his “Edge Finder”) keeps bias honest when signals conflict, and the daily routine that keeps him consistent around the New York session.

TraderNick Playbook & Strategy: How He Actually Trades

Core Philosophy & Market Focus

Here’s the big picture of how Nick approaches markets. He keeps the strategy simple, focuses on liquid FX and indices, and lets fundamentals drive bias while technicals handle timing. The goal is clean execution with strict risk and an unemotional decision tree.

  • Trade a defined universe: majors (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY), gold, and one or two index CFDs; avoid adding new markets mid-quarter.
  • Default timeframes: analysis on D1/4H, entries on 4H/1H; never drop below 15M for entries.
  • Maintain one primary bias per symbol based on fundamentals; only flip after a clearly defined macro catalyst or technical regime change.
  • Keep the playbook static for 90 days; review and only then adjust rules or watchlist.

Building the Bias (Fundamentals First)

Before he looks for entries, Nick determines which side of the market deserves his capital. He weighs macro data and the central bank’s path to decide if a currency should be accumulated or faded. This turns charts from “random” to a filtered hunting ground.

  • Score each currency 1–5 on: inflation trend, labor strength, growth momentum, and central-bank stance; sum the pair’s net score (long the stronger, short the weaker).
  • Only trade in the direction of the net score when the absolute differential ≥2; otherwise, trade smaller or skip.
  • After major events (CPI, NFP, rate decisions), lock the bias for 24 hours—no counter-trend trades during that window.
  • If two consecutive high-impact releases contradict the bias, cut exposure by 50% until alignment returns.

Technical Triggers (Trend-Following Entries)

Once the bias is set, he hunts for simple, repeatable patterns. Break-and-retest, structure continuations, and pullbacks to moving averages are the bread and butter. The point is to avoid prediction and let the price confirm.

  • Define trend: price above 200-EMA (bull) or below (bear) on D1; 4H must agree to take an entry.
  • Entry setup: wait for a fresh higher-high (bull) or lower-low (bear) on 4H, then place a limit at the 38.2–61.8% retrace of the impulse or a retest of broken structure.
  • Confirmation: one 4H close in trend direction after the retest; if not confirmed in 3 candles, cancel the order.
  • No trade if Average True Range (14) on 4H is below its 6-month median—skip low-volatility chop.

Risk Sizing & Exposure Limits

Nick treats position sizing as the true edge. He sizes small, scales selectively, and caps portfolio correlation. This keeps losing streaks survivable and winners meaningful.

  • Risk a fixed at 0.5–1.0% per initial position; never exceed 2.0% aggregate risk across correlated USD or JPY exposures.
  • If the spread-to-ATR ratio >10%, halve the size to account for execution risk.
  • News guardrail: 60 minutes pre/post top-tier events on the traded symbol’s currencies—either be flat or reduce size by 50%.
  • Max 5 open trades; if opening the 6th, close or trail one to free risk budget.

Stops, Targets & Trailing Logic

He doesn’t marry targets. He protects downside first, then lets structure trail stops so the market decides the upside. That keeps the plan consistent across instruments.

  • Initial stop goes beyond invalidation: below last swing low (bull) or above last swing high (bear) on 4H, or 1.25×ATR(14) from entry—whichever is farther.
  • First reduction: at +1R, move stop to breakeven and bank 25–33% of the position.
  • Trailing method: use a 4H swing-based trailing stop or a 20-EMA close-through; once trailed, never widen.
  • If two consecutive 4H closes print against trend and break the 20-EMA, exit the remainder at market.

Scaling In, Not Averaging Down

Nick adds that when the market proves him right, not when it’s moving against him. This amplifies strong trends while keeping drawdowns tame.

  • Only add after price makes a fresh trend-side break and retest; cap adds to two per idea.
  • Each add risks 50–70% of the initial risk; total stacked risk at any time must remain ≤ original risk after stop adjustments.
  • If the trailing stop on the core gets hit, all add-ons close immediately—no orphan runners.

Multi-Timeframe Alignment

He avoids fighting larger flows. Higher-timeframe context prevents micro-signals from luring him into low-quality trades.

  • Trade only when D1 trend and 4H structure agree; if H1 disagrees, wait for H1 to realign or skip.
  • If weekly resistance/support is within 0.5×D1 ATR of the entry, either tighten initial risk by 20% or wait for a clean break.
  • No counter-trend trades unless a weekly close flips the 200-EMA slope.

Session Timing & Routine

Consistency beats heroics. A simple, repeatable daily routine eliminates noise and improves execution quality.

  • Mark levels and update bias in the final hour before London close; place or adjust orders in the first two hours of New York.
  • Outside those windows, no new discretionary entries; management only.
  • If you miss the first retest after the break, skip the second unless ATR expands ≥15% day-over-day.

Correlation & Pair Selection

He’s picky about stacking the same macro theme across multiple pairs. Correlation can quietly multiply risk, so he keeps a leash on it.

  • Maximum two positions that are >0.7 correlated over the last 60 trading days; otherwise, reduce size per trade to 0.4–0.6%.
  • Prefer “clean” themes: strong vs weak currency (e.g., USD vs a clearly weaker counterpart) rather than two mixed-signal crosses.
  • If the heat-map shows three or more pairs with identical bias but diverging volatility, choose the pair with the best ATR-to-spread efficiency.

Trade Filters That Save You From Chop

Small guardrails eliminate a surprising number of bad trades. Nick leans on a few simple filters to keep quality high.

  • Skip entries if D1 candle bodies are <50% of their ranges for three consecutive days (indecision cluster).
  • Avoid trades into scheduled speeches/pressers when spreads typically widen; wait for the first post-event 4H close.
  • If two failed break-and-retests occur within 72 hours on the same level, stand down for that symbol until a daily close resolves it.

Journaling & Metrics

He tracks what matters: expectancy, hit rate by setup, and adherence to process. This turns vague “improvement” into a measurable iteration.

  • Log every trade with setup tag (break-retest, MA pullback, continuation), R multiple, and whether it followed the macro bias.
  • Weekly review: cut or revise any setup with 20-trade expectancy <0; scale focus to the top two setups by expectancy.
  • Process scorecard (daily, /10): bias set, filter respected, entry rules followed, risk sized, trailing executed; trades below 7/10 are ineligible for adds next week.

Optional Tools & Automation

He uses simple tools to standardize decisions and reduce second-guessing. Keep them lightweight so you actually use them.

  • Create a bias dashboard that auto-scores currencies on inflation, growth, labor, and policy; trade only the top-2 vs bottom-2 pairings each week.
  • Use alerts for 4H structure breaks and MA touches; never chase without the retest.
  • Pre-define order templates (risk% %, stop logic, partial-take at +1R) to remove button-mashing errors.

Example Trade Template (Plug-and-Play)

Templates make execution fast and consistent. Copy this into your plan and fill in the blanks every time you trade.

  • Pair & bias: ______ (net macro score ≥2 in favor of the base/quote).
  • Setup: 4H break of ______, pending limit at retest zone .
  • Initial stop: swing invalidation at ______ or 1.25×ATR(14), whichever is farther.
  • Risk: _____% of account; reduce to _____% if spread/ATR >10%.
  • Management: take 25–33% at +1R, trail via 4H swing/20-EMA close, cap at two adds after fresh breaks.
  • Kill switch: two 4H closes against trend and through 20-EMA, or conflicting back-to-back high-impact data prints.

Size Small, Survive Long: Fixed Risk Per Trade, Always

Nick Syiek—known as TraderNick—keeps his edge alive by sizing small enough to stay in the game through losing streaks. He fixes risk per trade at a consistent fraction of equity and treats that number as non-negotiable, even when a setup “looks perfect.” By standardizing risk, he makes every trade comparable and removes the temptation to “make it back” with a bigger bet. This rule turns variance into a manageable cost instead of a portfolio killer.

When volatility spikes, Nick doesn’t chase; he lets position size adapt to the wider stops while keeping the same account risk. He won’t stack correlated trades that quietly multiply exposure, and he cuts size when spreads or event risk inflate execution costs. If he adds to a winner, the total stacked risk never exceeds the original risk after stop adjustments. The result is simple: small, fixed risk preserves capital long enough for skill and edges to compound.

Let Fundamentals Set Bias, Use Simple Trend-Following Entries

Nick Syiek—better known as TraderNick—starts every idea with a macro scoreboard, not a chart pattern. He picks the stronger economy versus the weaker, then commits to that directional bias until a genuine catalyst says otherwise. CPI, jobs, and central-bank guidance decide whether he should hunt longs or shorts, keeping him from flip-flopping intraday. This bias-first approach narrows choices and lines him up with asymmetric, theme-driven moves.

With bias set, Nick keeps execution simple: trade in the direction of the D1/4H trend and ignore everything else. He looks for a clean break, then a retest, then a confirmation candle—no signal, no trade. If the 4H structure and the 200-EMA disagree, he waits, because mixed signals breed chop. Stops go beyond the invalidation swing or a multiple of ATR to account for volatility, and if confirmation doesn’t arrive within three candles, the setup is canceled. The result is a calm, rule-based handoff from fundamentals to trend-following mechanics.

Trail Winners Systematically, Never Widen Stops Or Hope

Nick Syiek—aka TraderNick—treats trailing as a mechanical job, not a mood. Once price moves in his favor, he locks progress by moving stops to breakeven at a predefined milestone and taking a small partial. From there, the stop follows a structure: below the latest 4H swing in an uptrend, or above it in a downtrend. If price closes against the trend and through his trigger line, he’s out—no negotiating, no “just a little more room.”

He never widens a stop after entry because that converts a planned risk into a guessing game. If volatility expands, the trailing logic adapts at the next structural pivot, not by giving the trade “extra oxygen.” When momentum accelerates, Nick lets the trail do the work instead of grabbing a fixed target too early. And if the market stalls, the trail naturally tightens, paying him for time without demanding prediction.

Diversify By Pair, Strategy, And Duration To Control Correlation

Nick Syiek—known as TraderNick—treats diversification as a risk brake, not a performance hack. He avoids stacking three USD-heavy trades that all live or die on one data print, and instead mixes pairs so one theme doesn’t dominate the account. When he’s long a strong USD idea, he won’t also load up on USDJPY, USDCHF, and USDCAD at full size; he trims exposure or swaps one for a cross that’s cleaner.

He also diversifies by strategy and holding period, so the account isn’t one-trick and one-timeline. A 4H trend-following position can sit alongside a D1 swing and a quick NY-session momentum entry—each sized smaller to respect aggregate risk. If rolling 60-day correlation between two open trades is above ~0.7, Nick cuts size on the second or passes entirely. And when volatility clusters, he spreads risk across themes rather than doubling down, letting different edges fire while keeping overall drawdowns controlled.

Trade Mechanics Over Predictions: Rules, Routines, And Session Discipline

Nick Syiek—better known as TraderNick—wins by executing a repeatable checklist, not by guessing tomorrow’s headline. Before the session, he locks a directional bias, marks levels, defines risk, and sets alerts so decisions are pre-made. He respects news windows, manages spreads and volatility, and treats every entry as a yes/no based on rules. If a setup doesn’t meet criteria—trend alignment, break-and-retest, confirmation candle—he passes without debate.

During the New York session, he works fixed windows: place or manage in open hours, then stop hunting. If price doesn’t tag the zone, the order expires; no chasing. He journals each trade against a process scorecard and cuts size after any rule break to enforce discipline. A daily loss cap ends the day automatically, and a kill switch triggers after two conflicting signals in a row. The message from Nick Syiek is simple: mechanics create consistency; predictions create drama.

In the end, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) shows that durability beats drama: fix risk per trade, respect volatility, and let macro context narrow your hunts. He builds a clear directional bias from fundamentals, then waits for the market to confirm with simple 4H/D1 trend structures—break, retest, confirm. From entry to exit, the process is mechanical: predefined stops, partials at +1R, and a trailing plan that never widens. That combination turns random outcomes into repeatable execution.

Just as important, he treats correlation, timing, and routine as part of the edge. Diversifying by pair, strategy, and duration keeps any single theme from hijacking the account. Session windows prevent impulse trades, and a process scorecard keeps standards high after wins or losses. If you adopt one takeaway from TraderNick, make it this: trade a ruleset you can repeat on a bad day—because consistency, not prediction, is what compounds.

Zahra N

Zahra N

She is a passionate female trader with a deep focus on market strategies and the dynamic world of trading. With a strong curiosity for price movements and a dedication to refining her approach, she thrives in analyzing setups, developing strategies, and exploring the global trading scene. Her journey is driven by discipline, continuous learning, and a commitment to excellence in the markets.

Trade gold and silver. Visit the broker's page and start trading high liquidity spot metals - the most traded instruments in the world.

Trade Gold & Silver

GET FREE MEAN REVERSION STRATEGY

Recent Posts